A good pre-live analysis consists of knowing how to define the fair odds of the Handicap lines. From that, we can also define which is the fair starting line.
The purpose of this article is to show what is the relationship between the odds of the odds market and the odds of the Asian Handicap.
The main market in which professional bettors operate is the Asian Handicap market In addition, the Handicap lines themselves already determine the degree of favoritism of the match. For a better understanding of this concept, it is very important to define what the concept of a fair line is:
Fair Line of the Match: comprises the Asian Handicap line which almost equalizes the odds of both teams.
That is, the fair line of the match will comprise the Asian handicap line with odds close to 2.00, both for the negative line of the favorite team, and for the positive line of the non-favorite team.
The Fair Line in Practice
For example, let’s consider the fair line of a match between Barcelona vs Real Madrid to be -0.75 for Barcelona. Therefore, this means that the Asian Handicap -0.75 odd for Barcelona will be around 2. Likewise, the Asian Handicap odd +0.75 for Real Madrid will also be around 2.
Regarding the degree of favoritism, the fair line indicates what is the expected favoritism of the confrontation. For example, a fair line of 0.0 indicates a showdown with no favorites. A fair line of -0.25 indicates a confrontation in which one of the teams is a slight favorite.
As the fair line gets stretched, the degree of favoritism also gets bigger and bigger. In other words, the greater the chance of victory for one of the teams, the more stretched the fair Handicap line of the match will be.
Therefore, if we are able to calculate the odds for all handicap lines in a match, we will also be able to identify which line is at odds leveled at 2 and thereby identify which is the fair line of the match.